EU climate plan asks countries to prepare for a 3°C warming scenario

EU climate plan asks countries to prepare for a 3°C warming scenario

The European Commission has proposed a climate-resilience framework that would require EU countries to plan for a future in which global temperatures could be around 3°C above pre-industrial levels by 2100 under current policies. The scenario is intended as a stress test for public planning, not a change to the bloc’s climate targets.

Reporting by the Financial Times and El País on Tuesday said the draft would push governments to build climate-risk assessments into policies across sectors and assign clear responsibility for preparing for heatwaves, floods, droughts and wildfires. Europe is warming at roughly twice the global average, making extreme weather an increasingly direct risk to infrastructure, health and economic activity.

The Commission estimates that adapting to climate impacts could require about €70 billion annually through 2050. Climate-related losses across Europe are estimated at around €200 billion between 2022 and 2025, according to the reporting. The proposal is still a framework under development; its final legal form, funding arrangements and obligations for member states remain to be settled.

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